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CIK 100548

UGI UTILITIES INC
CIK 0000100548 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
21.9
composite ยท 4 signals ยท CLEAN

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2018-09-30 ยท CLEAN29.2

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.48 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2018-11-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.479,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.082,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 0.813,
    "SGI": 1.231,
    "DEPI": 0.956,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 0.998,
    "TATA": -0.043
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "GMI",
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0446,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1092381000,
    "revenue_t1": 887588000,
    "total_assets_t": 3266576000,
    "net_income_t": 148921000,
    "cfo_t": 288617000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100548/000010054818000021/0000100548-18-000021-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2018-11-20"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2018-09-30 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 23.5% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2018-11-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2018-09-30": 0.2349,
    "2017-09-30": 0.3831,
    "2016-09-30": 0.4036
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2018-09-30": -0.0249,
    "2017-09-30": -0.1731,
    "2016-09-30": -0.1936
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100548/000010054818000021/0000100548-18-000021-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2018-11-20"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2018-09-30 ยท CLEAN14.6

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.44 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2018-11-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.438,
  "probability": 0.00162,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0446,
    "drec": 0.0057,
    "dinv": -0.0003,
    "soft": 0.2187,
    "dcs": 0.2107,
    "droa": 0.0068,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100548/000010054818000021/0000100548-18-000021-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2018-11-20"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2018-09-30 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 5.54x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2018-11-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2018-09-30": 5.538,
    "2017-09-30": 5.678,
    "2016-09-30": 5.339,
    "2015-09-30": 5.876
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 1.159,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 237522000,
    "interest_expense_t": 42890000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/100548/000010054818000021/0000100548-18-000021-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2018-11-20"
  }
}