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CIK 1011290

99 CENTS ONLY STORES LLC
CIK 0001011290 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
69.2
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2017-01-27 ยท ELEVATED44.7

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -1.94 in the elevated zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-04-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -1.936,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 2.038,
    "GMI": 0.962,
    "AQI": 1.037,
    "SGI": 1.029,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 1.076,
    "TATA": -0.087
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "DEPI",
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0853,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 2062007000,
    "revenue_t1": 2003995000,
    "total_assets_t": 1548306000,
    "net_income_t": -118159000,
    "cfo_t": 16572000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2017-01-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1011290/000110465917026424/0001104659-17-026424-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-04-26"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2017-01-27 ยท ELEVATED84.3

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage -0.77x below 1.0
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-04-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2017-01-27": -0.772,
    "2016-01-29": -2.296,
    "2015-01-30": 1.145,
    "2014-01-31": 0.28
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 2,
  "altman_z_double_prime": -1.394,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": -53097000,
    "interest_expense_t": 68764000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2017-01-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1011290/000110465917026424/0001104659-17-026424-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-04-26"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2015-01-30 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

[FY2015 data, stale โ€” no more recent pretax-income figure in XBRL] ETR 39.6% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-04-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2015-01-30": 0.3958
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2015-01-30": -0.1858
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": true,
  "latest_filing_period": "2017-01-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1011290/000110465917026424/0001104659-17-026424-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-04-26"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2017-01-27 ยท CLEAN10.9

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.33 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2017-04-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.328,
  "probability": 0.00121,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0853,
    "drec": 0.0012,
    "dinv": -0.0131,
    "soft": 0.6706,
    "dcs": 0.028,
    "droa": 0.078,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2017-01-27",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1011290/000110465917026424/0001104659-17-026424-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2017-04-26"
  }
}