STRATUMfiling intelligence๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indian private portal

CIK 1016125

ULTIMATE SOFTWARE GROUP INC
CIK 0001016125 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
33.4
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

Chat with this filing โ†’

Ask follow-up questions about the latest 10-K, with citations verified against the actual text. No account needed.

Investigation memo โ€” generate one โ†’

Run the bounded investigation agent โ€” reads this company's signals and writes a short, cited summary.

Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท ELEVATED36.7

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.22 in the elevated zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2019-03-01) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.217,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.031,
    "GMI": 1.004,
    "AQI": 2.009,
    "SGI": 1.212,
    "DEPI": 0.877,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 0.89,
    "TATA": -0.083
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0957,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1140544000,
    "revenue_t1": 940729000,
    "total_assets_t": 1920717000,
    "net_income_t": 65140000,
    "cfo_t": 223871000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1016125/000101612519000041/0001016125-19-000041-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2019-03-01"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท ELEVATED42.5

Restatement predictor

F-Score 1.28 โ€” misstatement risk 1.3x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2019-03-01) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 1.276,
  "probability": 0.00472,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0957,
    "drec": 0.0288,
    "dinv": null,
    "soft": 0.7635,
    "dcs": 0.1616,
    "droa": 0.0238,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1016125/000101612519000041/0001016125-19-000041-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2019-03-01"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 21.9% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2019-03-01) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2018-12-31": 0.2186,
    "2017-12-31": 0.6815,
    "2016-12-31": 0.294
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2018-12-31": -0.0086,
    "2017-12-31": -0.4715,
    "2016-12-31": -0.084
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1016125/000101612519000041/0001016125-19-000041-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2019-03-01"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 116.30x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2019-03-01) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2018-12-31": 116.3,
    "2017-12-31": 54.792,
    "2016-12-31": 58.137,
    "2015-12-31": 88.224
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 1.714,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 80596000,
    "interest_expense_t": 693000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1016125/000101612519000041/0001016125-19-000041-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2019-03-01"
  }
}