STRATUMfiling intelligence๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indian private portal

CIK 1029506

RALCORP HOLDINGS INC /MO
CIK 0001029506 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
28.3
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

Chat with this filing โ†’

Ask follow-up questions about the latest 10-K, with citations verified against the actual text. No account needed.

Investigation memo โ€” generate one โ†’

Run the bounded investigation agent โ€” reads this company's signals and writes a short, cited summary.

Signals

P-12 ยท FY 2012-09-30 ยท ELEVATED37.9

Restatement predictor

F-Score 1.14 โ€” misstatement risk 1.1x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2012-11-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 1.137,
  "probability": 0.00421,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0524,
    "drec": 0.0042,
    "dinv": 0.0016,
    "soft": 0.7347,
    "dcs": 0.1353,
    "droa": 0.0546,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2012-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1029506/000119312512485918/0001193125-12-485918-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2012-11-29"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2012-09-30 ยท CLEAN17.9

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.87 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2012-11-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.872,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.933,
    "GMI": 1.042,
    "AQI": 0.755,
    "SGI": 1.141,
    "DEPI": 0.972,
    "SGAI": 0.995,
    "LVGI": 1.21,
    "TATA": -0.066
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0524,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 4322200000,
    "revenue_t1": 3787200000,
    "total_assets_t": 4538800000,
    "net_income_t": 73400000,
    "cfo_t": 356600000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2012-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1029506/000119312512485918/0001193125-12-485918-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2012-11-29"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2011-09-30 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 43.2% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2012-11-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2011-09-30": 0.4318,
    "2010-09-30": 0.9269
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2011-09-30": -0.2218,
    "2010-09-30": -0.7169
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2012-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1029506/000119312512485918/0001193125-12-485918-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2012-11-29"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2012-09-30 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 2.14x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2012-11-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2012-09-30": 2.142,
    "2011-09-30": 2.434,
    "2010-09-30": 2.054,
    "2009-09-30": 2.313
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 1.917,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 273100000,
    "interest_expense_t": 127500000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2012-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1029506/000119312512485918/0001193125-12-485918-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2012-11-29"
  }
}