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CIK 1073967

SERENA SOFTWARE INC
CIK 0001073967 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
48.8
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-12 ยท FY 2013-01-31 ยท ELEVATED46.6

Restatement predictor

F-Score 1.40 โ€” misstatement risk 1.4x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2013-03-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 1.398,
  "probability": 0.00517,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0458,
    "drec": -0.0114,
    "dinv": null,
    "soft": 0.8427,
    "dcs": -0.0386,
    "droa": -0.009,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2013-01-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1073967/000119312513134631/0001193125-13-134631-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2013-03-29"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2013-01-31 ยท ELEVATED30.1

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 1.00x below 1.0
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2013-03-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2013-01-31": 0.997,
    "2012-01-31": 1.414,
    "2011-01-31": 0.111,
    "2010-01-31": -0.177
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 1,
  "altman_z_double_prime": -1.072,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 28799000,
    "interest_expense_t": 28895000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2013-01-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1073967/000119312513134631/0001193125-13-134631-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2013-03-29"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2013-01-31 ยท CLEAN14.0

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -3.01 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2013-03-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -3.011,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.732,
    "GMI": 0.999,
    "AQI": 1.015,
    "SGI": 0.927,
    "DEPI": 0.97,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 0.999,
    "TATA": -0.047
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0458,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 203437000,
    "revenue_t1": 219541000,
    "total_assets_t": 646027000,
    "net_income_t": 2483000,
    "cfo_t": 33148000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2013-01-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1073967/000119312513134631/0001193125-13-134631-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2013-03-29"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2012-01-31 ยท CLEAN56.8

Tax arbitrage

ETR 9.3% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2013-03-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2012-01-31": 0.0931
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2012-01-31": 0.1169
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2013-01-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1073967/000119312513134631/0001193125-13-134631-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2013-03-29"
  }
}