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CIK 1490366

CHINA NEW BORUN Corp
CIK 0001490366 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
17.3
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-13 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท ELEVATED20.6

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 0.57x below 1.0
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2019-05-15) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2018-12-31": 0.575,
    "2017-12-31": 4.501,
    "2016-12-31": 2.458,
    "2015-12-31": 2.276
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 1,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 5.084,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 5213429,
    "interest_expense_t": 9069499
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490366/000110465919029712/0001104659-19-029712-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2019-05-15"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท CLEAN10.3

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -3.20 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2019-05-15) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -3.196,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.296,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 0.996,
    "SGI": 0.8,
    "DEPI": 0.848,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 1.094,
    "TATA": 0.034
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "GMI",
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": 0.0329,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 262256112,
    "revenue_t1": 327641024,
    "total_assets_t": 453020695,
    "net_income_t": -5701259,
    "cfo_t": -21203729
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490366/000110465919029712/0001104659-19-029712-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2019-05-15"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2017-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 25.0% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2018-05-15) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2017-12-31": 0.25,
    "2016-12-31": 0.25
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2017-12-31": -0.04,
    "2016-12-31": -0.04
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490366/000110465918033460/0001104659-18-033460-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2018-05-15"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2018-12-31 ยท CLEAN18.9

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.57 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2019-05-15) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.566,
  "probability": 0.00209,
  "components": {
    "rsst": 0.0329,
    "drec": -0.1264,
    "dinv": 0.3037,
    "soft": 0.8068,
    "dcs": -0.0178,
    "droa": -0.0679,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2018-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490366/000110465919029712/0001104659-19-029712-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2019-05-15"
  }
}