CIK 1617227

J. Alexander’s Holdings, Inc.

CIK 0001617227 · EDGAR ↗

cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned

80.4

composite · 4 signals · ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from — no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded — never a guess.

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Signals

P-05 · FY 2019-12-29 · ELEVATED100.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR -6.7% vs 21% statutory — gap persistent across 2 of 2 years

trend: flat

Trend

Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2021-03-18) ↗

Evidence — inputs and thresholds

{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2019-12-29": -0.0669,
    "2018-12-30": -0.5577
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2019-12-29": 0.2769,
    "2018-12-30": 0.7677
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2021-01-03",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1617227/000156459021014068/0001564590-21-014068-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2021-03-18"
  }
}

P-13 · FY 2021-01-03 · ELEVATED90.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage -36.47x below 1.0

trend: flat

Trend

Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2021-03-18) ↗

Evidence — inputs and thresholds

{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2021-01-03": -36.472,
    "2019-12-29": 15.369,
    "2018-12-30": 4.819,
    "2017-12-31": 8.73
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 1,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 0.091,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": -30053000,
    "interest_expense_t": 824000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2021-01-03",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1617227/000156459021014068/0001564590-21-014068-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2021-03-18"
  }
}

P-01 · FY 2021-01-03 · CLEAN4.4

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -3.35 — no manipulation profile

trend: flat

Trend

Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2021-03-18) ↗

Evidence — inputs and thresholds

{
  "m_score": -3.347,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 0.947,
    "SGI": 0.742,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 1.171,
    "TATA": -0.119
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "DSRI",
    "GMI",
    "DEPI",
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.1177,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 183373000,
    "revenue_t1": 247269000,
    "total_assets_t": 237119000,
    "net_income_t": -22471000,
    "cfo_t": 6064000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2021-01-03",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1617227/000156459021014068/0001564590-21-014068-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2021-03-18"
  }
}

P-12 · FY 2021-01-03 · CLEAN9.2

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.28 — at or below the population base rate

trend: flat

Trend

Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2021-03-18) ↗

Evidence — inputs and thresholds

{
  "f_score": 0.275,
  "probability": 0.00102,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.1177,
    "drec": null,
    "dinv": -0.0023,
    "soft": 0.5169,
    "dcs": -0.2584,
    "droa": -0.1303,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2021-01-03",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1617227/000156459021014068/0001564590-21-014068-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2021-03-18"
  }
}