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CIK 1637880

TRI-STATE GENERATION AND TRANSMISSION ASSOCIATION, INC.
CIK 0001637880 · EDGAR ↗
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
65.9
composite · 4 signals · TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from — no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded — never a guess.

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Signals

P-12 · FY 2025-12-31 · TRIGGERED62.5

Restatement predictor

F-Score 1.87 — misstatement risk 1.9x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-06) ↗
Evidence — inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 1.875,
  "probability": 0.00694,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0131,
    "drec": -0.0003,
    "dinv": null,
    "soft": 0.9661,
    "dcs": -0.0057,
    "droa": -0.0002,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1637880/000163788026000012/0001637880-26-000012-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-06"
  }
}
P-13 · FY 2025-12-31 · TRIGGERED42.8

Zombie / distress

Zombie: interest coverage below 1.0x for 4 consecutive years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-06) ↗
Evidence — inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.889,
    "2024-12-31": 0.912,
    "2023-12-31": 0.862,
    "2022-12-31": 0.771
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 4,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 1.251,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 170650000,
    "interest_expense_t": 191971000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1637880/000163788026000012/0001637880-26-000012-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-06"
  }
}
P-05 · FY 2025-12-31 · ELEVATED75.3

Tax arbitrage

ETR 1.0% vs 21% statutory — gap persistent across 2 of 3 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-06) ↗
Evidence — inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.0096,
    "2024-12-31": 0.2054,
    "2023-12-31": 0.0004
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.2004,
    "2024-12-31": 0.0046,
    "2023-12-31": 0.2096
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1637880/000163788026000012/0001637880-26-000012-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-06"
  }
}
P-01 · FY 2025-12-31 · CLEAN26.3

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.58 — no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-06) ↗
Evidence — inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.578,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.987,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 1.009,
    "SGI": 0.993,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 1.07,
    "TATA": -0.013
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "GMI",
    "DEPI",
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0131,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1601565000,
    "revenue_t1": 1612390000,
    "total_assets_t": 5243160000,
    "net_income_t": 20099000,
    "cfo_t": 88227000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1637880/000163788026000012/0001637880-26-000012-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-06"
  }
}