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CIK 1720821

PAE Inc
CIK 0001720821 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
81.8
composite ยท 3 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-12 ยท FY 2019-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED100.0

Restatement predictor

F-Score 4.93 โ€” misstatement risk 4.9x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K/A on SEC.gov (filed 2021-05-07) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 4.932,
  "probability": 0.01825,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.1876,
    "drec": 0.4982,
    "dinv": null,
    "soft": 0.9282,
    "dcs": -0.11,
    "droa": 0.049,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2020-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1720821/000172082121000075/0001720821-21-000075-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K/A",
    "filed": "2021-05-07"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2020-12-31 ยท ELEVATED63.3

Tax arbitrage

ETR 7.7% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 1 of 1 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K/A on SEC.gov (filed 2021-05-07) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2020-12-31": 0.0767
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2020-12-31": 0.1333
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2020-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1720821/000172082121000075/0001720821-21-000075-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K/A",
    "filed": "2021-05-07"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2019-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -177.16 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K/A on SEC.gov (filed 2021-05-07) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -177.161,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1,
    "GMI": 1.126,
    "AQI": 0.576,
    "SGI": 1.06,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 0.933,
    "LVGI": 533.333,
    "TATA": -0.121
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "DSRI",
    "DEPI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.1876,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 2763893000,
    "revenue_t1": 2608562000,
    "total_assets_t": 1371299000,
    "net_income_t": -49809000,
    "cfo_t": 116648000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2020-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1720821/000172082121000075/0001720821-21-000075-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K/A",
    "filed": "2021-05-07"
  }
}