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CIK 1832433

Ferguson plc
CIK 0001832433 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
19.1
composite ยท 5 signals ยท CLEAN

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2023-07-31 ยท CLEAN24.1

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.66 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2023-09-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.656,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.957,
    "GMI": 1.01,
    "AQI": 1.101,
    "SGI": 1.041,
    "DEPI": 1.071,
    "SGAI": 1.009,
    "LVGI": 0.944,
    "TATA": -0.052
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0527,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 29734000000,
    "revenue_t1": 28566000000,
    "total_assets_t": 15994000000,
    "net_income_t": 1889000000,
    "cfo_t": 2723000000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2023-07-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1832433/000183243323000066/0001832433-23-000066-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2023-09-26"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2023-07-31 ยท CLEAN16.3

Tax arbitrage

ETR 23.3% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2023-09-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2023-07-31": 0.2334,
    "2022-07-31": 0.2249,
    "2021-07-31": 0.1246
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2023-07-31": -0.0234,
    "2022-07-31": -0.0149,
    "2021-07-31": 0.0854
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2023-07-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1832433/000183243323000066/0001832433-23-000066-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2023-09-26"
  }
}
P-07 ยท FY 2023-07-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Pension underfunding

DB plan 104% funded
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2023-09-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "benefit_obligation": 1218000000,
  "plan_assets": 1270000000,
  "funded_ratio": 1.0427,
  "deficit": 52000000,
  "deficit_vs_equity": null,
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": "<90% funded",
    "triggered": "<80% funded or deficit >25% of equity"
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2023-07-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1832433/000183243323000066/0001832433-23-000066-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2023-09-26"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2023-07-31 ยท CLEAN17.6

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.53 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2023-09-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.527,
  "probability": 0.00195,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0527,
    "drec": -0.0008,
    "dinv": -0.0275,
    "soft": 0.8627,
    "dcs": 0.0413,
    "droa": -0.0174,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2023-07-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1832433/000183243323000066/0001832433-23-000066-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2023-09-26"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2022-07-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 25.41x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2023-09-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2023-07-31": null,
    "2022-07-31": 25.405,
    "2021-07-31": 19.898,
    "2020-07-31": 14.753
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 4.808,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 2820000000,
    "interest_expense_t": 111000000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2023-07-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1832433/000183243323000066/0001832433-23-000066-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2023-09-26"
  }
}