STRATUMfiling intelligence๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Indian private portal

CIK 921503

BLYTH INC
CIK 0000921503 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
77.9
composite ยท 4 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

Chat with this filing โ†’

Ask follow-up questions about the latest 10-K, with citations verified against the actual text. No account needed.

Investigation memo โ€” generate one โ†’

Run the bounded investigation agent โ€” reads this company's signals and writes a short, cited summary.

Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2014-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED72.1

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -1.41 exceeds the -1.78 manipulation threshold
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2015-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -1.411,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.967,
    "GMI": 0.999,
    "AQI": 0.67,
    "SGI": 0.917,
    "DEPI": 1.05,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 1.072,
    "TATA": 0.283
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": 0.2477,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 490020000,
    "revenue_t1": 534262000,
    "total_assets_t": 287353000,
    "net_income_t": 86761000,
    "cfo_t": 5755000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2014-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/921503/000092150315000013/0000921503-15-000013-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2015-03-16"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2013-12-31 ยท CLEAN100.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 103.1% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2015-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2013-12-31": 1.0306,
    "2012-12-31": -7.5499
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2013-12-31": -0.8206,
    "2012-12-31": 7.7599
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2014-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/921503/000092150315000013/0000921503-15-000013-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2015-03-16"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2014-12-31 ยท CLEAN6.9

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.21 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2015-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.208,
  "probability": 0.00077,
  "components": {
    "rsst": 0.2477,
    "drec": -0.0044,
    "dinv": -0.0272,
    "soft": 0.4342,
    "dcs": -0.0801,
    "droa": 0.2953,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2014-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/921503/000092150315000013/0000921503-15-000013-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2015-03-16"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2014-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 1.01x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2015-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2014-12-31": 1.008,
    "2013-12-31": 1.968,
    "2012-12-31": 0.662,
    "2011-12-31": 5.63
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 7.244,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 7097000,
    "interest_expense_t": 7042000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2014-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/921503/000092150315000013/0000921503-15-000013-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2015-03-16"
  }
}