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ASH

ASHLAND INC.
CIK 0001674862 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
60.4
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-05 ยท FY 2023-09-30 ยท ELEVATED100.0

Tax arbitrage

[FY2023 data, stale โ€” no more recent pretax-income figure in XBRL] ETR -5.0% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 1 of 1 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2023-09-30": -0.05
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2023-09-30": 0.26
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": true,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1674862/000119312525289248/0001193125-25-289248-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-20"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท ELEVATED80.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage -12.70x below 1.0
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-09-30": -12.705,
    "2024-09-30": -0.491,
    "2023-09-30": 3.185,
    "2022-09-30": 5.371
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 2,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 2.714,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": -775000000,
    "interest_expense_t": 61000000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1674862/000119312525289248/0001193125-25-289248-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-20"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท CLEAN0.0

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -3.56 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -3.561,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.154,
    "GMI": 0.972,
    "AQI": 0.858,
    "SGI": 0.863,
    "DEPI": 1.054,
    "SGAI": 0.986,
    "LVGI": 1.203,
    "TATA": -0.207
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [],
  "sloan_accruals": null,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1824000000,
    "revenue_t1": 2113000000,
    "total_assets_t": 4611000000,
    "net_income_t": null,
    "cfo_t": 134000000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1674862/000119312525289248/0001193125-25-289248-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-20"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท CLEAN13.0

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.39 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.39,
  "probability": 0.00144,
  "components": {
    "rsst": null,
    "drec": -0.0002,
    "dinv": 0.0045,
    "soft": 0.6929,
    "dcs": -0.1363,
    "droa": null,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1674862/000119312525289248/0001193125-25-289248-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-20"
  }
}