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ARMSTRONG WORLD INDUSTRIES, INC.
CIK 0000007431 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
23.4
composite ยท 5 signals ยท CLEAN

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN26.1

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.59 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-24) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.585,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.865,
    "GMI": 0.99,
    "AQI": 0.965,
    "SGI": 1.121,
    "DEPI": 0.917,
    "SGAI": 0.982,
    "LVGI": 0.845,
    "TATA": -0.024
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0248,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1620800000,
    "revenue_t1": 1445700000,
    "total_assets_t": 1924700000,
    "net_income_t": 308700000,
    "cfo_t": 355500000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/7431/000119312526065183/0001193125-26-065183-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-24"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 22.9% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-24) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.2288,
    "2024-12-31": 0.2368,
    "2023-12-31": 0.2497
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": -0.0188,
    "2024-12-31": -0.0268,
    "2023-12-31": -0.0397
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/7431/000119312526065183/0001193125-26-065183-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-24"
  }
}
P-07 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Pension underfunding

DB plan 123% funded
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-24) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "benefit_obligation": 324000000,
  "plan_assets": 398600000,
  "funded_ratio": 1.2302,
  "deficit": 74600000,
  "deficit_vs_equity": null,
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": "<90% funded",
    "triggered": "<80% funded or deficit >25% of equity"
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/7431/000119312526065183/0001193125-26-065183-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-24"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN31.3

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.94 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-24) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.938,
  "probability": 0.00347,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0248,
    "drec": -0.0022,
    "dinv": 0.0079,
    "soft": 0.6138,
    "dcs": 0.124,
    "droa": 0.0166,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/7431/000119312526065183/0001193125-26-065183-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-24"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 13.06x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-24) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 13.058,
    "2024-12-31": 9.405,
    "2023-12-31": 9.17,
    "2022-12-31": 10.284
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 6.425,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 430900000,
    "interest_expense_t": 33000000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/7431/000119312526065183/0001193125-26-065183-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-24"
  }
}