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BRBR

BellRing Brands, Inc.
CIK 0001772016 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
46.3
composite ยท 4 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-12 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท TRIGGERED62.7

Restatement predictor

F-Score 1.88 โ€” misstatement risk 1.9x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-18) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 1.882,
  "probability": 0.00696,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0499,
    "drec": 0.0034,
    "dinv": 0.0498,
    "soft": 0.9035,
    "dcs": 0.159,
    "droa": -0.0647,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1772016/000177201625000153/0001772016-25-000153-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-18"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท CLEAN23.7

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.67 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-18) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.672,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.873,
    "GMI": 1.065,
    "AQI": 0.97,
    "SGI": 1.161,
    "DEPI": 1.615,
    "SGAI": 1.199,
    "LVGI": 1.173,
    "TATA": -0.047
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0499,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 2316600000,
    "revenue_t1": 1996200000,
    "total_assets_t": 941000000,
    "net_income_t": 216200000,
    "cfo_t": 260600000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1772016/000177201625000153/0001772016-25-000153-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-18"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 25.2% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-18) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-09-30": 0.2519,
    "2024-09-30": 0.2517,
    "2023-09-30": 0.2491
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-09-30": -0.0419,
    "2024-09-30": -0.0417,
    "2023-09-30": -0.0391
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1772016/000177201625000153/0001772016-25-000153-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-18"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2025-09-30 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 5.23x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-11-18) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-09-30": 5.225,
    "2024-09-30": 6.65,
    "2023-09-30": 4.294,
    "2022-09-30": 4.317
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 5.823,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 357400000,
    "interest_expense_t": 68400000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-09-30",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1772016/000177201625000153/0001772016-25-000153-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-11-18"
  }
}