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DEC

Diversified Energy Company
CIK 0001922446 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
65.3
composite ยท 4 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED54.2

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -1.60 exceeds the -1.78 manipulation threshold
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -1.605,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 0.721,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 1.008,
    "SGI": 2.415,
    "DEPI": 0.847,
    "SGAI": 1,
    "LVGI": 1.07,
    "TATA": -0.02
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "GMI",
    "SGAI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0244,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 1829142000,
    "revenue_t1": 757290000,
    "total_assets_t": 6168959000,
    "net_income_t": 341115000,
    "cfo_t": 464619000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1922446/000192244626000020/0001922446-26-000020-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-26"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED70.7

Restatement predictor

F-Score 2.12 โ€” misstatement risk 2.1x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 2.121,
  "probability": 0.00785,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0244,
    "drec": 0.0344,
    "dinv": 0.0036,
    "soft": 0.9229,
    "dcs": 1.1856,
    "droa": 0.0817,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1922446/000192244626000020/0001922446-26-000020-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-26"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท ELEVATED72.6

Tax arbitrage

ETR -13.5% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 1 of 2 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": -0.1346,
    "2023-12-31": 0.2417
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.3446,
    "2023-12-31": -0.0317
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1922446/000192244626000020/0001922446-26-000020-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-26"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท ELEVATED20.0

Zombie / distress

Altman Z'' 0.06 in the distress zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 2.459,
    "2024-12-31": -0.697,
    "2023-12-31": 8.292
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 0.062,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 535017000,
    "interest_expense_t": 217564000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1922446/000192244626000020/0001922446-26-000020-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-26"
  }
}