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EME

EMCOR Group, Inc.
CIK 0000105634 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
28.4
composite ยท 5 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-07 ยท FY 2024-12-31 ยท ELEVATED29.5

Pension underfunding

DB plan 85% funded โ€” -$1M deficit (0% of equity)
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "benefit_obligation": 6100000,
  "plan_assets": 5200000,
  "funded_ratio": 0.8525,
  "deficit": -900000,
  "deficit_vs_equity": 0.0003,
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": "<90% funded",
    "triggered": "<80% funded or deficit >25% of equity"
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/105634/000010563426000025/0000105634-26-000025-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-26"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN35.7

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.25 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.251,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.017,
    "GMI": 0.982,
    "AQI": 1.215,
    "SGI": 1.166,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 1.035,
    "LVGI": 0.973,
    "TATA": -0.003
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "DEPI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0034,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 16986422000,
    "revenue_t1": 14566116000,
    "total_assets_t": 9291399000,
    "net_income_t": 1272817000,
    "cfo_t": 1302063000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/105634/000010563426000025/0000105634-26-000025-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-26"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 26.1% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.2607,
    "2024-12-31": 0.2688,
    "2023-12-31": 0.2744
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": -0.0507,
    "2024-12-31": -0.0588,
    "2023-12-31": -0.0644
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/105634/000010563426000025/0000105634-26-000025-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-26"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN22.4

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.67 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.671,
  "probability": 0.00248,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0034,
    "drec": 0.078,
    "dinv": null,
    "soft": 0.8531,
    "dcs": 0.1206,
    "droa": 0.0065,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/105634/000010563426000025/0000105634-26-000025-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-26"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage 142.55x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-26) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 142.547,
    "2024-12-31": 355.878,
    "2023-12-31": 50.919,
    "2022-12-31": 42.797
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 4.79,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 1713418000,
    "interest_expense_t": 12020000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/105634/000010563426000025/0000105634-26-000025-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-26"
  }
}