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GEF-B

GREIF, INC.
CIK 0000043920 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
36.4
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-07 ยท FY 2016-10-31 ยท TRIGGERED56.8

Pension underfunding

[FY2016 data, stale โ€” no more recent pension disclosure in XBRL] DB plan 80% funded โ€” -$158M deficit (17% of equity)
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2018-12-20) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "benefit_obligation": 783800000,
  "plan_assets": 626300000,
  "funded_ratio": 0.7991,
  "deficit": -157500000,
  "deficit_vs_equity": 0.1662,
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": "<90% funded",
    "triggered": "<80% funded or deficit >25% of equity"
  },
  "stale": true,
  "latest_filing_period": "2024-10-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/43920/000004392018000034/0000043920-18-000034-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2018-12-20"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2024-10-31 ยท ELEVATED16.1

Tax arbitrage

ETR 8.5% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 1 of 3 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2024-12-23) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2024-10-31": 0.0851,
    "2023-10-31": 0.2381,
    "2022-10-31": 0.2608
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2024-10-31": 0.1249,
    "2023-10-31": -0.0281,
    "2022-10-31": -0.0508
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2024-10-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/43920/000004392024000056/0000043920-24-000056-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2024-12-23"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2024-10-31 ยท ELEVATED41.0

Restatement predictor

F-Score 1.23 โ€” misstatement risk 1.2x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2024-12-23) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 1.229,
  "probability": 0.00455,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0138,
    "drec": 0.0139,
    "dinv": null,
    "soft": 0.7217,
    "dcs": 0.0272,
    "droa": -0.0198,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2024-10-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/43920/000004392024000056/0000043920-24-000056-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2024-12-23"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2024-10-31 ยท CLEAN31.4

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.40 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2024-12-23) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.401,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.085,
    "GMI": 1.117,
    "AQI": 1.02,
    "SGI": 1.044,
    "DEPI": 0.942,
    "SGAI": 1.107,
    "LVGI": 1.067,
    "TATA": -0.013
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0138,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 5448100000,
    "revenue_t1": 5218600000,
    "total_assets_t": 6647600000,
    "net_income_t": 268800000,
    "cfo_t": 356000000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2024-10-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/43920/000004392024000056/0000043920-24-000056-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2024-12-23"
  }
}