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HLLY

HOLLEY INC.
CIK 0001822928 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
21.4
composite ยท 5 signals ยท CLEAN

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-07 ยท FY 2020-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED55.5

Pension underfunding

[FY2020 data, stale โ€” no more recent pension disclosure in XBRL] DB plan 73% funded โ€” -$2M deficit (1% of equity)
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2023-03-15) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "benefit_obligation": 6551000,
  "plan_assets": 4756000,
  "funded_ratio": 0.726,
  "deficit": -1795000,
  "deficit_vs_equity": 0.0075,
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": "<90% funded",
    "triggered": "<80% funded or deficit >25% of equity"
  },
  "stale": true,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1822928/000143774923006585/0001437749-23-006585-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2023-03-15"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN25.5

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.61 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.608,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1,
    "GMI": 0.913,
    "AQI": 0.983,
    "SGI": 1.019,
    "DEPI": 1.157,
    "SGAI": 1.085,
    "LVGI": 0.959,
    "TATA": -0.023
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "DSRI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0235,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 613514000,
    "revenue_t1": 602224000,
    "total_assets_t": 1163953000,
    "net_income_t": 19175000,
    "cfo_t": 46220000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1822928/000162828026018218/0001628280-26-018218-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-16"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 33.0% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.3303,
    "2023-12-31": 0.3045
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": -0.1203,
    "2023-12-31": -0.0945
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1822928/000162828026018218/0001628280-26-018218-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-16"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN20.4

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.61 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.611,
  "probability": 0.00226,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0235,
    "drec": null,
    "dinv": 0.0114,
    "soft": 0.9292,
    "dcs": 0.0187,
    "droa": 0.037,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1822928/000162828026018218/0001628280-26-018218-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-16"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2023-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Zombie / distress

[FY2023 data, stale โ€” no more recent EBIT figure in XBRL] Interest coverage 1.55x โ€” servicing debt from operations
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2025-03-14) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": null,
    "2024-12-31": null,
    "2023-12-31": 1.548,
    "2022-12-31": 1.261
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": 2.427,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 94038000,
    "interest_expense_t": 60746000
  },
  "stale": true,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1822928/000143774925007614/0001437749-25-007614-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2025-03-14"
  }
}