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MRM

Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc.
CIK 0001819704 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
97.0
composite ยท 4 signals ยท TRIGGERED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2024-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED87.3

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -0.79 exceeds the -1.78 manipulation threshold
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2025-04-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -0.792,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.793,
    "GMI": 0.849,
    "AQI": 0.903,
    "SGI": 1.215,
    "DEPI": 0.898,
    "SGAI": 0.941,
    "LVGI": 0.908,
    "TATA": 0.183
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [],
  "sloan_accruals": 0.1982,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 8299134000,
    "revenue_t1": 6827943000,
    "total_assets_t": 8090671000,
    "net_income_t": 148763000,
    "cfo_t": -1331681000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2024-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819704/000155837025005850/0001558370-25-005850-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2025-04-29"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2024-12-31 ยท TRIGGERED92.4

Restatement predictor

F-Score 2.77 โ€” misstatement risk 2.8x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2025-04-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 2.773,
  "probability": 0.01026,
  "components": {
    "rsst": 0.1982,
    "drec": 0.0982,
    "dinv": 0.0016,
    "soft": 0.9459,
    "dcs": 0.108,
    "droa": 0.0015,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2024-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819704/000155837025005850/0001558370-25-005850-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2025-04-29"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2024-12-31 ยท ELEVATED100.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR -189.6% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 2 of 3 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2025-04-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2024-12-31": -1.8963,
    "2023-12-31": -4.5789,
    "2022-12-31": 0.1714
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2024-12-31": 2.1063,
    "2023-12-31": 4.7889,
    "2022-12-31": 0.0386
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2024-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819704/000155837025005850/0001558370-25-005850-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2025-04-29"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2023-12-31 ยท ELEVATED90.0

Zombie / distress

Interest coverage -10.62x below 1.0
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 20-F on SEC.gov (filed 2025-04-29) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2024-12-31": null,
    "2023-12-31": -10.621,
    "2022-12-31": 9.895,
    "2021-12-31": -39.38
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 1,
  "altman_z_double_prime": -2.038,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": -391579000,
    "interest_expense_t": 36868000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2024-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1819704/000155837025005850/0001558370-25-005850-index.htm",
    "form": "20-F",
    "filed": "2025-04-29"
  }
}