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NXST

NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP, INC.
CIK 0001142417 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
40.8
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-12 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท ELEVATED51.5

Restatement predictor

F-Score 1.54 โ€” misstatement risk 1.5x the base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-27) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 1.545,
  "probability": 0.00572,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0701,
    "drec": 0.0042,
    "dinv": null,
    "soft": 0.8674,
    "dcs": -0.0934,
    "droa": -0.0529,
    "issue": 1
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1142417/000119312526078361/0001193125-26-078361-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-27"
  }
}
P-01 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN20.2

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.79 โ€” no manipulation profile
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-27) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.794,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.142,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 0.969,
    "SGI": 0.915,
    "DEPI": 0.99,
    "SGAI": 1.067,
    "LVGI": 1.021,
    "TATA": -0.072
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "GMI"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0701,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 4949000000,
    "revenue_t1": 5407000000,
    "total_assets_t": 10846000000,
    "net_income_t": 109000000,
    "cfo_t": 891000000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1142417/000119312526078361/0001193125-26-078361-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-27"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 44.7% โ€” within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-27) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": 0.4467,
    "2024-12-31": 0.2878,
    "2023-12-31": 0.3267
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": -0.2367,
    "2024-12-31": -0.0778,
    "2023-12-31": -0.1167
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1142417/000119312526078361/0001193125-26-078361-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-27"
  }
}
P-07 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN27.0

Pension underfunding

DB plan 90% funded
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-02-27) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "benefit_obligation": 1579000000,
  "plan_assets": 1425000000,
  "funded_ratio": 0.9025,
  "deficit": -154000000,
  "deficit_vs_equity": 0.0746,
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": "<90% funded",
    "triggered": "<80% funded or deficit >25% of equity"
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1142417/000119312526078361/0001193125-26-078361-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-02-27"
  }
}