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OLLI

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.
CIK 0001639300 · EDGAR ↗
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
32.2
composite · 3 signals · ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from — no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded — never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 · FY 2026-01-31 · ELEVATED40.9

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -2.07 in the elevated zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-19) ↗
Evidence — inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -2.068,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.387,
    "GMI": 0.994,
    "AQI": 1.131,
    "SGI": 1.166,
    "DEPI": 0.92,
    "SGAI": 0.993,
    "LVGI": 1.14,
    "TATA": -0.019
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [],
  "sloan_accruals": -0.0203,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 2649198000,
    "revenue_t1": 2271705000,
    "total_assets_t": 2954953000,
    "net_income_t": 240596000,
    "cfo_t": 296539000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2026-01-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1639300/000114036126010409/0001140361-26-010409-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-19"
  }
}
P-05 · FY 2026-01-31 · CLEAN0.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR 24.0% — within normal range of statutory
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-19) ↗
Evidence — inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2026-01-31": 0.2395,
    "2025-02-01": 0.2485,
    "2024-02-03": 0.2518
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2026-01-31": -0.0295,
    "2025-02-01": -0.0385,
    "2024-02-03": -0.0418
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2026-01-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1639300/000114036126010409/0001140361-26-010409-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-19"
  }
}
P-12 · FY 2026-01-31 · CLEAN16.7

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.50 — at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-19) ↗
Evidence — inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.5,
  "probability": 0.00185,
  "components": {
    "rsst": -0.0203,
    "drec": 0.0005,
    "dinv": 0.0354,
    "soft": 0.7828,
    "dcs": 0.1655,
    "droa": 0.0034,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2026-01-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1639300/000114036126010409/0001140361-26-010409-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-19"
  }
}