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OPAL

OPAL FUELS INC.
CIK 0001842279 ยท EDGAR โ†—
cleanelevatedtriggeredno dataplanned
82.5
composite ยท 4 signals ยท ELEVATED

Every card below shows the score and the exact filing data it was computed from โ€” no unexplained numbers. Some signals (P-02, P-03, P-08, P-09, P-10, P-11) pull live documents from SEC EDGAR the first time you view this company; a few of those (P-03, P-10, P-11) use AI to read the filing text, but every AI claim must quote the actual document verbatim or it's discarded โ€” never a guess.

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Signals

P-01 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท ELEVATED44.0

Earnings quality

Beneish M-Score -1.96 in the elevated zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "m_score": -1.961,
  "threshold": -1.78,
  "ratios": {
    "DSRI": 1.142,
    "GMI": 1,
    "AQI": 1.005,
    "SGI": 1.163,
    "DEPI": 1,
    "SGAI": 1.035,
    "LVGI": 0.246,
    "TATA": 0
  },
  "defaulted_to_neutral": [
    "GMI",
    "DEPI",
    "TATA"
  ],
  "sloan_accruals": null,
  "inputs": {
    "revenue_t": 348975000,
    "revenue_t1": 299972000,
    "total_assets_t": 959469000,
    "net_income_t": null,
    "cfo_t": 36498000
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1842279/000162828026017908/0001628280-26-017908-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-16"
  }
}
P-05 ยท FY 2024-12-31 ยท ELEVATED100.0

Tax arbitrage

ETR -164.3% vs 21% statutory โ€” gap persistent across 2 of 2 years
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "etr_by_year": {
    "2024-12-31": -1.6435,
    "2023-12-31": 0
  },
  "statutory_rate": 0.21,
  "gap_by_year": {
    "2024-12-31": 1.8535,
    "2023-12-31": 0.21
  },
  "note": "Low ETR can be fully legitimate; this flags persistence + magnitude for review.",
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1842279/000162828026017908/0001628280-26-017908-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-16"
  }
}
P-13 ยท FY 2022-12-31 ยท ELEVATED20.0

Zombie / distress

[FY2022 data, stale โ€” no more recent EBIT figure in XBRL] Altman Z'' -6.52 in the distress zone
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2024-03-15) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "icr_by_year": {
    "2025-12-31": null,
    "2024-12-31": null,
    "2023-12-31": null,
    "2022-12-31": 1.139
  },
  "consecutive_years_below_1": 0,
  "altman_z_double_prime": -6.517,
  "definitions": {
    "zombie": "ICR<1 for 3+ consecutive FYs (BIS 2018)",
    "z_distress": "<1.1 distress, 1.1-2.6 gray, >2.6 safe"
  },
  "inputs": {
    "ebit_t": 7563000,
    "interest_expense_t": 6640000
  },
  "stale": true,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1842279/000184227924000012/0001842279-24-000012-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2024-03-15"
  }
}
P-12 ยท FY 2025-12-31 ยท CLEAN24.5

Restatement predictor

F-Score 0.74 โ€” at or below the population base rate
trend: flat
Trend
Source: 10-K on SEC.gov (filed 2026-03-16) โ†—
Evidence โ€” inputs and thresholds
{
  "f_score": 0.736,
  "probability": 0.00272,
  "components": {
    "rsst": null,
    "drec": 0.0166,
    "dinv": null,
    "soft": 0.9746,
    "dcs": 0.1125,
    "droa": null,
    "issue": 0
  },
  "model": "Dechow et al. 2011, Model 1 (simplified RSST)",
  "thresholds": {
    "elevated": 1,
    "triggered": 1.85
  },
  "stale": false,
  "latest_filing_period": "2025-12-31",
  "source": {
    "url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1842279/000162828026017908/0001628280-26-017908-index.htm",
    "form": "10-K",
    "filed": "2026-03-16"
  }
}